Advanced Statistics - 2020 Match

[Guest]

definitely hard. nsgy should hopefully see bump in number of residency slots in next few yrs. otherwise, a massive shortage is impending

[Guest]

(03-24-2020, 05:51 PM)Guest Wrote: definitely hard. nsgy should hopefully see bump in number of residency slots in next few yrs. otherwise, a massive shortage is impending

source?

[Guest]

(03-24-2020, 06:04 PM)Guest Wrote:

(03-24-2020, 05:51 PM)Guest Wrote: definitely hard. nsgy should hopefully see bump in number of residency slots in next few yrs. otherwise, a massive shortage is impending

source?

just shy of 4k practicing neurosurgeons in US. 1/2 of practicing neurosurgeons are >55 yo. average age of retirement for all surgeons is about 60. Less than 200 new neurosurgeons into the workforce a year. Barely at replacement rate currently. Then factor in expanding population, aging population, etc. Also, fewer neurosurgeons are taking call than decades prior creating particular problems in areas with smaller systems. Additional factors can be made for current emphasis on sub specialists and fewer graduating neurosurgeons doing general nsgy

[Guest]

(03-24-2020, 06:19 PM)Guest Wrote:

(03-24-2020, 06:04 PM)Guest Wrote:

(03-24-2020, 05:51 PM)Guest Wrote: definitely hard. nsgy should hopefully see bump in number of residency slots in next few yrs. otherwise, a massive shortage is impending

source?

just shy of 4k practicing neurosurgeons in US. 1/2 of practicing neurosurgeons are >55 yo. average age of retirement for all surgeons is about 60. Less than 200 new neurosurgeons into the workforce a year. Barely at replacement rate currently. Then factor in expanding population, aging population, etc. Also, fewer neurosurgeons are taking call than decades prior creating particular problems in areas with smaller systems. Additional factors can be made for current emphasis on sub specialists and fewer graduating neurosurgeons doing general nsgy

The number of residency spots is driven by a combination of federal funding and accreditation by the governing specialty boards, not perceived shortages or surpluses in the field. Urology has had the worst current and projected shortage for the past few years and their spots have barely gone up. Radiology had a huge glut with a collapsed job market and their number of spots barely went down. It's a lot harder to create more spots in surgical fields since each graduating resident has to hit their numbers in every subspecialty, and you need a stable group of faculty who are willing to teach.

[Guest]

(03-24-2020, 08:13 PM)Guest Wrote:

(03-24-2020, 06:19 PM)Guest Wrote:

(03-24-2020, 06:04 PM)Guest Wrote:

(03-24-2020, 05:51 PM)Guest Wrote: definitely hard. nsgy should hopefully see bump in number of residency slots in next few yrs. otherwise, a massive shortage is impending

source?

just shy of 4k practicing neurosurgeons in US. 1/2 of practicing neurosurgeons are >55 yo. average age of retirement for all surgeons is about 60. Less than 200 new neurosurgeons into the workforce a year. Barely at replacement rate currently. Then factor in expanding population, aging population, etc. Also, fewer neurosurgeons are taking call than decades prior creating particular problems in areas with smaller systems. Additional factors can be made for current emphasis on sub specialists and fewer graduating neurosurgeons doing general nsgy

The number of residency spots is driven by a combination of federal funding and accreditation by the governing specialty boards, not perceived shortages or surpluses in the field. Urology has had the worst current and projected shortage for the past few years and their spots have barely gone up. Radiology had a huge glut with a collapsed job market and their number of spots barely went down. It's a lot harder to create more spots in surgical fields since each graduating resident has to hit their numbers in every subspecialty, and you need a stable group of faculty who are willing to teach.

I understand the process and I agree with you. I think the increase will be subtle if anything but I would expect several new programs to start. It’s insane how much it costs to fund a single residency spot

[Guest]

(03-24-2020, 08:17 PM)Guest Wrote:

(03-24-2020, 08:13 PM)Guest Wrote:

(03-24-2020, 06:19 PM)Guest Wrote:

(03-24-2020, 06:04 PM)Guest Wrote:

(03-24-2020, 05:51 PM)Guest Wrote: definitely hard. nsgy should hopefully see bump in number of residency slots in next few yrs. otherwise, a massive shortage is impending

source?

just shy of 4k practicing neurosurgeons in US. 1/2 of practicing neurosurgeons are >55 yo. average age of retirement for all surgeons is about 60. Less than 200 new neurosurgeons into the workforce a year. Barely at replacement rate currently. Then factor in expanding population, aging population, etc. Also, fewer neurosurgeons are taking call than decades prior creating particular problems in areas with smaller systems. Additional factors can be made for current emphasis on sub specialists and fewer graduating neurosurgeons doing general nsgy

The number of residency spots is driven by a combination of federal funding and accreditation by the governing specialty boards, not perceived shortages or surpluses in the field. Urology has had the worst current and projected shortage for the past few years and their spots have barely gone up. Radiology had a huge glut with a collapsed job market and their number of spots barely went down. It's a lot harder to create more spots in surgical fields since each graduating resident has to hit their numbers in every subspecialty, and you need a stable group of faculty who are willing to teach.

I understand the process and I agree with you. I think the increase will be subtle if anything but I would expect several new programs to start. It’s insane how much it costs to fund a single residency spot

While not rising as quickly as we need, the spots have been increasing each year since 2016 according to the link in the original post. It went from 216 (in 2016) -> 223 -> 225 -> 232 -> 232 (in 2020). Take into account that there are usually more programs starting residencies or trying to go up in their complement than there are programs losing accreditation, then it's a good sign. Next year, UT-Austin will start a program. I'm sure a couple programs will increase their complement or need to back-fill. I've also heard Baptist in Miami may be starting a residency in a few years with McDermott. So there's growth, albeit slowly.